Eastern Europe could soon become a favorite location for offshore outsourcing, with activity in the region estimated to triple between 2005 and 2008.

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That’s according to consulting firm McKinsey, which predicts that the business process outsourcing (BPO) industry will support 130,000 jobs in the region by 2008.

Although only 1 percent of the world’s total BPO spending–worth $30 billion–is currently located in Eastern Europe, the region emerged as one of the favorite locations for Western European companies to invest in between 2004 and 2006.

McKinsey identifies three main advantages for companies locating BPO operations in Eastern Europe in the winter issue of McKinsey on IT.

The region offers low wage levels, comparable to India’s, with slow wage inflation looking likely to keep the region economically competitive for at least 15 years.

Also, compared with competing regions around the world, Eastern Europe is a relatively low-risk location for investing, due to the reliable infrastructure already in place.

The other benefit is the region’s geographical and cultural proximity to Western Europe, making the process of setting up offices much easier. There are also fewer language barriers compared with elsewhere, with German and French both being widely spoken.

BPO industry still needs nurturing

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Say BPO and usually the first set of images that flash through the mind are Gen-X youngsters working in swanky hi-tech offices, with lavish canteens and a fleet of air-conditioned cabs ferrying them around town and the outskirts at odd hours. It is easy to think BPO-owners are quite like King Midas of our times. After all, if they can offer all those facilities and pay packets to entry-level employees, it’s not hard to imagine them making big profits. Right? Wrong. Contrary to general perceptions, the BPO industry is at an inflection point from where it is about to tip down. A large number of entrepreneurs have closed shop because of huge operational losses.

It happens with almost every industry that in a nascent stage, a large number of players jump onto the bandwagon. As the industry matures, some of them survive while the rest eventually die out in the cut-throat competition. That has happened to the BPO industry in India as well.

Added to this is a long list of woes: over- dependence on North American and European mid-rung Markets, crippling effects of the sub-prime mortgage crises, rupee volatility, rising inflation, soaring fuel prices, intra-industry attrition, looming taxes, global warming and an ill-informed and non-sensitised government machinery.